Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.024583 0.026447 0.028391 0.030574 0.032959 0.035489 0.038379
2025-01-05 0.021389 0.024020 0.026909 0.030325 0.034269 0.038695 0.044057
2025-01-12 0.018976 0.021993 0.025432 0.029663 0.034756 0.040724 0.048299
2025-01-19 0.017669 0.021017 0.024955 0.029961 0.036205 0.043800 0.053836
2025-01-26 0.016472 0.020023 0.024310 0.029913 0.037119 0.046171 0.058560
2025-02-02 0.015667 0.019418 0.024054 0.030269 0.038487 0.049122 0.064166
2025-02-09 0.014708 0.018536 0.023362 0.029978 0.038939 0.050846 0.068188
2025-02-16 0.013936 0.017833 0.022840 0.029843 0.039546 0.052761 0.072551
2025-02-23 0.013214 0.017146 0.022283 0.029603 0.039961 0.054395 0.076579
2025-03-02 0.012647 0.016628 0.021913 0.029580 0.040649 0.056421 0.081284
2025-03-09 0.012001 0.015964 0.021301 0.029169 0.040735 0.057549 0.084680
2025-03-16 0.011364 0.015279 0.020621 0.028612 0.040558 0.058252 0.087430
2025-03-23 0.010861 0.014761 0.020156 0.028348 0.040809 0.059626 0.091368
2025-03-30 0.010388 0.014265 0.019696 0.028062 0.041001 0.060909 0.095240
2025-04-06 0.009853 0.013655 0.019041 0.027446 0.040637 0.061280 0.097595
2025-04-13 0.009610 0.013457 0.018976 0.027714 0.041664 0.063921 0.103991
2025-04-20 0.009298 0.013141 0.018720 0.027670 0.042181 0.065748 0.109090
2025-04-27 0.009104 0.012992 0.018704 0.027995 0.043304 0.068639 0.116300
2025-05-04 0.008772 0.012619 0.018330 0.027729 0.043431 0.069836 0.120487
2025-05-11 0.008495 0.012320 0.018056 0.027606 0.043784 0.071432 0.125528
2025-05-18 0.008211 0.011999 0.017734 0.027387 0.043957 0.072713 0.130052
2025-05-25 0.007989 0.011766 0.017538 0.027367 0.044465 0.074613 0.135922
2025-06-01 0.007700 0.011416 0.017143 0.026991 0.044327 0.075323 0.139458